Hurricane Alley… by J. D. Longstreet

Will Israel Strike Iran If Obama Objects? … By J. D. Longstreet

Yes!  I believe she will.

 

Forgive me, but I cannot SEE Israel sitting around waiting on the Europeans, the Americans and the UN and the IAEA to do something about Iran… much longer.

 

The Israelis see all this “jaw-jawing” as just what it is… putting off an impending event. Israel cannot afford to wait.  Their very lives depend on the nuclear facilities of Iran being taken out.

 

Any morning now, I expect to awaken to news reports that unmarked aircraft conducted massive bombing raids over Iran and immense damage was done to Iran’s nuclear factories and research plants.  Of course, there will be a slew of reports of collateral damage. The Mainstream Media, in order to be sure we all understand, will report the deaths of uncounted women and children by these dastardly phantoms of the air!

 

Now… this is going to happen!  I see no way of preventing it now, at all.  The US has only two choices … they are… to be ahead of the curve… or behind it.  With, or without US help, Israel is going to defend itself and if that means pre-emptive air attacks on Iran and the use of Israeli nuclear weapons, then so be it.

 

There is now concern that an Obama Administration will not allow Israel to fly through Iraqi airspace, a route the IAF needs to get to Iran, drop their payloads, and get back to Israel.

 

Some time ago, I read an unconfirmed report concerning an Israeli plan to force their way through Iraqi airspace by taking on US air forces in air to air combat in order to allow enough of their bomb laden aircraft to get through to Iraq and bomb Iran’s nuclear facilities.  It is understood by the Israeli airmen that if such a mission is undertaken by the IAF it will be considered a suicide mission. 

 

The tiny country of Israel is sort of like Fort Apache.  It’s surrounded by hostiles and it cannot survive a first strike.  It has no choice but to strike first and continue the strikes as long as it takes to remove the threat.  They cannot consider what the US wants, nor Great Britain, no the Europeans, nor the UN.  This is THEIR LIVES they will be defending.

 

Within 24 hours of the nation of Israel being created by the United Nations she was attacked by hordes of Muslims.  She fought them off and has continued to fight them off throughout their history. 

 

Israel has stated publicly that she will not hesitate to use nuclear weapons IF she believes her chances of survival are slim to none otherwise. 

 

The remainder of the world had best prepare.  All the negotiations, underway now, and all the posturing by the diplomats of the world, are accomplishing absolutely nothing.  As soon as Israel feels the time is right, they will strike.

 

We wish them every success.  We pray God that He will, once again, come to the aid of His people and extend His arm of protection over the brave pilots who will participate in the raid.

 

Godspeed IAF!

 

J. D. Longstreet

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Israel and the Obama Administration. Forget About It!

Israel and the Obama Administration.  Forget About It!

 

Should Obama win the election here in America next month, the doors and windows to Israel will slam shut for members of the Obama Administration. See, Israel already knows they cannot trust an Obama administration and they will shut off all avenues of approach for the US… except for those absolutely necessary to maintain a tenuous connection to the American government. 

 

Israel knows it cannot share intelligence with an Obama Administration.  Perhaps our most valuable source of intelligence on Iran and the other rogue states in the Middle East will suddenly and completely dry up.  Israel is not about to risk valuable Intel gathered by Mossad, and other Israeli intelligence agencies, being, shall we say… “shared” with the… uh… opposition.  Israel cannot risk that and they won’t. 

 

I do not mean to imply that Obama is a Muslim.  I know I’m going to be accused of that.  Let me just say, that it seems the Israelis have made up their minds on that matter.  Let me also say…I trust Israel. 

 

Jesse Jackson is out there saying that “decades of putting Israel’s interests first” will be over under an Obama Administration. Jackson made those remarks at a World Policy Forum in Evian, France last week.  You’ll find an article on that here:

http://www.nypost.com/seven/10142008/postopinion/opedcolumnists/the_o_jesse_knows_133450.htm?page=0

 

How do you suppose that made Israel feel?  Not charitable toward Obama, I suspect.  (Of course, this is the same Jackson who made the remark about altering Obama’s anatomy near what he (Jackson) thought was a dead microphone. As a long time veteran of the broadcast industry, I offer a bit of advice to everyone.  When you see a microphone… always assume it is “live”.  ALWAYS!)

 

Now, I have been accused, just a few days ago, of being a “nut job” supporting Israel and waiting for the Rapture.   First let me say that I am an old Lutheran.  My support of Israel has nothing to do with the Rapture.  It has to do with common sense and my parents raising me to look out for the little guy, the underdog, especially if that underdog is on my side. Add to that the fact that I don’t hate Jews and well, I suppose that makes me some sort of thoroughbred bigot.  I’ll leave it to those of you who feel you must have someone to hate in order to feel some sense of self-worth to decide what pigeonhole to put me in. Frankly, I don’t care.

 

There is an excellent article at the American Thinker titled:  “Barack Obama and Israel”.  The article is by Ed Lasky.  We recommend you read it.  You’ll find it at:

 

http://www.americanthinker.com/2008/01/barack_obama_and_israel.html

 

 

 

As one who does not favor a Palestinian state… at all, I tend to look with disfavor on those in the US government who do.  I never supported the current administration’s aims toward establishing a Palestinian state and I certainly will not support any future President’s attempts to do the same thing whether republican or democrat.

 

Obama’s insistence that he will “talk” with Iran about abandoning their drive toward development of an Atomic Bomb is chilling to say the least.  It will accomplish nothing good, and, at the same time, any “official” talks with Iran will only elevate Iran in the eyes of it’s supporters and encourage other rogue states to follow the same route Iran is following today.

 

Israel would be well advised, it seems to me, to go ahead, at the earliest possible moment (certainly before Obama takes office should he win the election) and bomb Iran’s nuclear facilities with a time window for follow-up raids as necessary.  Make no mistake about it…the destruction of Iran’s nuclear facilities is a must.  It now appears that Israel is the only country with the “stones” to take on the task, and they must be prepared to do it alone and survive the diplomatic hailstorm that will follow.

 

Look, if Iran is not stopped we are looking at a nuclear holocaust in the Middle East.  Israel has it’s own nuclear arsenal, which it is absolutely prepared to use to ensure it’s survival.  The moment Iran fires a nuclear tipped missile in Israel’s direction Iran will be the country that will cease to exist…whether we have an Obama Administration or not. 

 

There is good reason to suspect there will be little if any cooperation between Israel and an Obama Administration. We can only hope Israel has leaders who will dig in their heels and refuse to bow to pressure from a likely Obama Administration to accommodate the demands of the Islamic states surrounding her.

 

J. D. Longstreet 

 

 

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His Finger on Armageddon

His Finger on Armageddon

By: J. D. Longstreet

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On the off chance that you have not noticed… there is a religious fanatic in charge of Iran. The even more troubling problem is… he has his finger on the button, which could trigger Armageddon.

I speak, of course, of Mahmoud Ahmadinejad, President of Iran. I should say the “Islamic Republic” of Iran.

I find myself in the group believing Iran will have a deliverable A-Bomb much sooner than our Intelligence community has told us. I think it wise to assume that in a matter of months, Iran will have nuclear weapons. Iran already has the delivery vehicles for those Nukes. Ahmadinejad has told us the target… Israel. In a few, blinding seconds, the state of Israel will cease to exist.

Ahmadinejad apparently believes it is his duty in life to prepare the way for the 12th Imam. To understand how Ahmadinejad’s belief can be fatal for Israel, it is necessary to understand, at least a little, about what he believes. Then it will become clear.

Well, in Christianity we have the return of Christ, often referred to as the “Second Coming of Christ”. In Shi’ite Islam they have the return of the 12th Imam. Ahmadinejad has said, openly, the 12th Imam will return within two years.

As with the Second Coming of Christ the event (Return of the 12th Imam) will be associated with a number of tribulations and lots of turmoil including great death… and great destruction.
In an article over at The Telegraph.Co.Uk titled: “Will the 12th Imam cause war with Iran”? Con Coughlin says the following:


“For those unacquainted with the more obscure tenets of Islamic theology, the 12th Imam is held by devout Shi’ite Muslims to be a direct descendant of the Prophet Mohammed who went into “occlusion” in the ninth century at the age of five and hasn’t been seen since.


The Hidden Imam, as he is also known by his followers, will only return after a period of cosmic chaos, war and bloodshed – what Christians call the Apocalypse – and then lead the world into an era of universal peace.


Rumours abound of Mr Ahmadinejad’s devotion to the 12th Imam, and last year it was reported that he had persuaded his cabinet to sign a “contract” pledging themselves to work for his return.

Another example of his messianic tendencies surfaced after 108 people were killed in an aircraft crash in Teheran. Mr Ahmadinejad praised the victims, saying: “What is important is that they have shown the way to martyrdom which we must follow.”


We urge you to read the entire article at:


http://www.telegraph.co.uk/opinion/main.jhtml?xml=/opinion/2007/09/28/do2804.xml

Why is this suddenly so troubling? Well, frankly, with the Islamic belief in Martyrdom so prevalent, and the associated eternal bliss expected, as a result, the religious nut, in Iran, with his finger on the button, becomes a very real threat.

Besides the above, a time of political chaos will set the stage for the 12th Imam’s, or Madhi’s, return. At least, the Shi’ite Moslems believe that it will.

Remember, Ahmadinejad is the man who stated, publicly, “Israel should be wiped from the map”. This is the man who has made huge donations (in the millions of dollars) to a shrine, which is said to contain the well from which the 12th Imam is to re-emerge into the world.

It is also believed the “Mahdi” will have a deputy, something of a forerunner (remember John the Baptist), who will prepare the world for the “Mahdi’s” return. Suppose someone thought himself to be that deputy and desired to bring about the chaos needed for the Mahdi’s return and… suppose, further, the self-described deputy had nuclear weapons to assist him in his quest for chaos.

Granted, there is a whole lot of supposing going on here, but… what if???

Would it not behoove those expecting to be on the receiving end of those missiles to intercede on the side of sanity and remove Mr. Ahmadinejad’s means of inflicting his end goal of chaos and the return of the Mahdi?

One of the few things we have learned, from watching these Middle Eastern hotheads, is that when they threaten something dire, they, almost, always deliver.

You can bet that if this old, gentile, Southern American boy is considering all this… then the Israelis are WAY ahead of me.

Here is a question to think about: Does anyone believe if the Iranians were to pull off a successful nuclear attack on Israel they would stop there… or would they continue their march of conquest to Europe? Huh?

J. D. Longstreet

Filed under:

conservative+Iran+Bomb+Israel+US+Armageddon

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US Bunker Busters make Stopover in Israel on way to Iran.

USDOD Approves Sale of Bunker-Busters to Israel
Is Permission to overfly Iraq next?

By: J. D. Longstreet

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Well, well, well. Who applied the pressure to the Pentagon to let Israel have these guided-missile” bombs? The last we heard, just a few days ago, was that the US was dragging it’s feet on the sale of these missiles to Israel. My, oh my, how things change… and so quickly, too.

The sale to Israel is pending Congressional approval, but nobody thinks that will be a problem.

The JPost (Jerusalem Post) is reporting that Israel has ordered 1000 of these precision bunker busters. You’ll find the entire article at:

www.jpost.com/servlet/Satellite?cid=1221142470441&pagename=JPost%2FJPArticle%2FPrinter

Would you care to hazard a guess as to what use these GPS guided missiles will be used for? No, really?

The folks over at the Iran Almanac have taken notice. See the article at:

http://www.iranalmanac.com/news/lastnews.php?newsid=8484

See, Israel, has told the world if has no interest in taking a defensive “Wait and See” position on the promised attack by Iran, but instead will use preemption in order to stop an attack from Iran in the first place. You can see this report at:

www.jpost.com/servlet/Satellite?cid=1219913194872&pagename=JPost%2FJPArticle%2FShowFull

Israel simply cannot survive an atomic “First Strike” by Iran. They just are not physically large enough to absorb it. So, they do not have what some seem to think is the luxury of sitting back and allowing themselves to be “hit” first in a display of “good sportsmanship”. Ain’t gonna happen. It cannot be allowed to happen.

So far as we have been able to determine the US has not yet granted Israel permission to use Iraqi airspace to reach Iran with their fighter/bomber aircraft. That doesn’t mean it hasn’t happened…it simply means we don’t know. When it does, I expect we will hear a howl go up from  the new Iraqi government. Unless a bit of subterfuge is used… a little slight of hand, shall we say, we can expect those squeals of injured Iraqi pride to sound loud and clear and be amplified by the left wing media in this country and around the world… and you can bet, from the UN.

Some in Israel and in the US government are calling for more and stronger sanctions on Iran. Yeah, it’s the rose-colored glasses thing, again. People with their feet planted firmly on terra firma already know that more sanctions will not deter Iran. They are on what they see as a Holy Mission. That is the eradication of Israel… and… the United States, the little Satan and the BIG Satan! Sanctions will work on Iran about as well as they worked on Saddam Hussein’s Iraq. We all know how that eventually turned out. Iran’s Ahmadinejad said, just a few days ago: “Let them put sanctions on us. We are a very strong nation.” The Iranian president went on to say that many around the world would come to Iran’s defense in case of a US strike. (To Ahmadinejad,  an Israeli attack is the same thing as an American attack.)

As I look back over the events of the past few weeks, I have to wonder if the Russian incursion into the sovereign state of Georgia keyed this move by the US to supply Israel with the missiles it would need to attack Iran’s nuclear facilities and thwart so much of the Russian supplied material both in Iran’s nuclear facilities and in Iran’s arsenal. Is the US prepared to give Russia a taste of it’s own medicine? Why, if Iran’s Russian arsenal holds up against Israeli/America tactics and armament as well as the Iraqi’s Russian supplied weapons did, well, that would be more humiliation on the Russian armament makers.

Ahhhh. International intrigue. Ain’t it grand?

J. D. Longstreet

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US Still Watchful of Iran

Keeping An Eye on Iran

 

How much more diplomacy with Iran before the Mad Mullahs slam Israel with a nuclear tipped missile? HUH?

 

Weston European nations including Great Britain, France, and Germany, are once again trying to “talk” Iran out of continuing to enrich uranium to weapons grade.  Once they have accomplished that, would anyone care to hazard a guess as to how long until they choose Israel as a target for a “test” fired missile?

 

The Mullahs are rather enjoying the “Jaw-Jaw” of the westerners.  It makes them feel important.  Much the same reason they feel it necessary to build nuclear weapons.  That have a gigantic inferiority complex and all the attention from the west strokes their HUGE egos into believing they are something more modern that a backwards 13th century, third-world nation state.

 

I am beginning the think it is a “toss up” as to which nation is at the top of the hit list in the War on Terror.  Syria, or Iran. Surely we must hit one or the other, or both.  Both have a lot going for them as they vie for first place on that list. 

 

Syria, while a pain in the backside of the world, is not really threatening anybody outside of their immediate circle of Middle Eastern neighbors. 

 

Iran, on the other hand, is a different story.  Once they have mounted those nuclear warheads on the missiles they already have, they can strike far outside the Middle East and deep into Europe. I still feel their first target will be Israel, simply because they know the minute they light up the first nuclear missile, the US will blast them back into the Stone Age.  So they have to make that first shot count.  It may be their last.  Their deep-seated hatred for Israel will not allow them to chance losing an opportunity to visit death and destruction upon the Israelis.

 

Even more worrisome behavior, by Iran, is their rumored support of Hamas and Hezbollah in South America.  If true, that puts them clearly inside the US sphere of influence.  The presence of Hamas and Hezbollah in the “tri-border area” of South America (Brazil, Argentina, and Paraguay) and, recently, in Venezuela have not gone unnoticed by US intelligence agencies.  The US may find it necessary to clean up around it’s own doorstep in the near future.  It is, indeed, an area that needs intense scrutiny.

 

Meanwhile, the Europeans seem to have learned nothing from two world wars, nothing.  They are still, to this day, attempting to placate their adversaries by bowing and scraping and diplomatically “kissing-up”.   They had better wake up and get a grasp on the situation.  You see, their perennial protector is sorta busy.  The US has its hands full, right now.  The US is, as they say, otherwise occupied. 

 

The point of all this rambling is to say simply, it’s time to stop talking with Iran and start doing.   Take out a few of their nuclear installations, their enrichment plants, and such.  That will get their attention.   They do not believe the West has “the stones” for it, so they simply disregard all the diplomatic blather and continue their menacing ways.  The quickest way to get them to the negotiating table is to slap them around a little.

 

It is trite to say, I know, but the Iranians understand power and the application of power.  Sad to say, our European cousins, apparently, do not.

 

We have said for a very long time now that the US is in Iraq to stay. They have constructed permanent military installations there and I do not see the US giving up this “forward” position for US ground troops in the Middle East. Besides, with our continued presence in Iraq, we have or friend (Israel) close… and our enemy (Iran) even closer!

 

J. D. Longstreet      

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AhMADinejad … by Alan Caruba

AhMADinejad

By Alan Caruba

 

Mamoud Ahmadinejad, the president of Iran, was bouncing off the walls in August. Hardly a day went by without his getting crazier and crazier about Zionism, Israel, and Jews in general. The last guy who talked like this was Adolf Hitler and he started World War Two.

 

Here’s just a sample of Ahmadinejad’s ravings:

 

“About 2,000 organized Zionists and 7,000 to 8,000 agents of Zionism have dragged the world into turmoil.” Last time I checked most of the turmoil is being generated by the likes of the Russians, al Qaeda murderers, Hezbollah, Hamas, and, oh yes, Iran.

 

I have no idea where Mamoud came up with his numbers, but it is safe to say that most citizens of Israel can be called Zionist insofar Zionism was a movement to reestablish Israel. I know a lot of Christians who proudly call themselves Zionists, so I think Mamoud is off by a couple of million.

 

 “The era of the Zionists has come to an end, and I recommend that the leaders of Europe and the U.S. not submit to the Zionists. If they help them, they will be harmed.”  Whoa! Anybody hear a threat to nuke Europe and the U.S. in this statement? I do. And I am thinking, “preemptive strike.”

 

“We will witness dismantling of the corrupt regime (Israel) in a very near future,” said Mamoud during World Mosque Week in August. He went on to say that Israel is “the main cause of all corruption and wickedness in the contemporary era.” He has likewise described Israel as “a dirty microbe”, “a wild animal”, and “the West’s scarecrow.”

 

Mamoud is not just talking about Israel. He’s really talking about Jews because, like a lot of Muslims, he has absorbed all the anti-Semitic teachings of the Koran. It’s worth noting that Mohammad also mocked Christianity and committed all Muslims to impose Islam on the world.

 

But Mamoud wasn’t finished. He went on to advise “writers in the West” to avoid referring to the Holocaust, the extermination of six million Jews by the Nazi regime, because that would be “tantamount to backing the identity of the Zionists.”  Mamoud doesn’t believe the Holocaust ever happened or so he says.

 

“Soon the world will celebrate the elimination of the oppressing Zionism.”  

 

So much for the wit and wisdom of Mamoud Ahmadinejad circa August 2008.

 

What one can swiftly discern from this selection of comments is that Ahmadinejad is doing a poor job of hinting that an attack on Israel is coming. He may just have in mind something similar to the Hezbollah attack out of Lebanon in July-August 2006 or a combined attack with Hamas.

 

Or he may be saying that, as soon as Iran can put nuclear warheads on top of missiles, it will not only destroy Israel, but threaten Europe as well.

 

I will leave the parsing and analysis of Ahmadinejad’s ravings to people who do this for a living. I am sure that August alone gave them cause to send a number of lively intelligence reports for inclusion in President Bush’s daily briefings. 

 

For my part, though, I’m thinking the sooner Israel and/or the United States blows Iran’s nuclear facilities off the face of the Earth, the better.

 

We don’t need to invade Iran or occupy it. We just need to send a message that we have read the history of World War II and we don’t want to repeat the errors of the past by not believing what our enemies are saying.

 

I have no ill feelings for the people of Iran. They are descended from an ancient civilization and they deserve to be liberated from the insane ayatollahs that hold them captive to their primitive and barbaric interpretation of Islam.

 

What the world must rightly fear is the madness of Ahmadinejad and his cronies. He lives for the return of the mythical Twelfth Imam and he believes the only way that can be brought about is with the maximum spilling of blood.

 

Just because America, Europe, Israel and a host of other nations may want peace does not mean they will permitted to have it. When there’s a nut loose in the neighborhood, he needs to be removed from the streets.

 

Alan Caruba writes a weekly column posted on the Internet site of The National Anxiety Center, www.anxietycenter.com. He blogs daily at http://factsnotfantasy.blogspot.com.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

  

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Will Israel Strike Iran Without US Aid?

Posted in America, Bombing Iran;s Nuclear facilities, Freedom, Iran, Israel, Middle East, Oil, Political, Religion, War by J. D. Longstreet on September 1, 2008

Will Israel Strike Iran Without US Aid?  By: J. D. Longstreet

Israel will not agree to allow Iran to achieve nuclear weapons and will take whatever means are necessary to prevent Teheran from achieving its nuclear goals, the government recently decided in a special discussion.” (From: The Israeli Insider)

 

It now appears that no matter what the US decides about Iran, Israel has decided to act.  It will be a separate ISRAELI attack, reports say an “Independent military strike”, for which plans are now in “high gear’. You can read the details at the “Israeli Insider” here:

 http://israelinsider.ning.com/profiles/blog/show?id=2018399%3ABlogPost%3A4649

 

Reports tell us that both the McCain Camp and the Obama Camp have been advised of Israel’s decision.  The time frame for such an attack is said to be within 18 to 24 months.

 

It seems to us that Israel has no other choice.  Iran has set a course for self-destruction and refuses to be deterred by any actions, such as sanctions, in her all out drive to manufacture an Atomic Bomb.

 

Without US help with air borne tankers and such, Israeli pilots, making the sortie on Iran, may be making a suicide run without enough fuel to return to their home bases in Israel.  Rest assured the Israeli pilots know this.  It is a sacrifice they, apparently, are ready to make if it will secure their homeland Israel… even if only for a few short years.

 

It is reported that Israel has asked the US for special munitions to destroy the underground nuclear facilities of the Iranians.  These are munitions that only the US can supply, and… the US has refused those specialty weapons.  You can read the article for yourself at:

 

http://www.haaretz.com/hasen/spages/1010938.html

 

But, don’t count the Israelis out.  They have some of the brightest minds on the globe and it wouldn’t surprise me if, by the time the Israeli fighter-bombers launch toward Iran, they were laden with Israeli made “bunker busters” of their own.

 

The Israeli-Iranian conflict has been brewing for a very long time and in our opinion, the US should step aside and allow Israel to “take care of business”.  Israel cannot absorb a nuclear attack on their home soil and survive.  They know that.  Their backs are against the wall and they have no intention of cowering like frightened sheep.

 

As at Belshazzar’s Feast, the Handwriting is on the Wall, this time, for the Iranians. The words written by that miraculous finger of that moving hand were:  MENE, MENE, TEKEL, PARSIN”.  Interpreted they mean:  “God has numbered your days.  You have been weighed in the scales and found wanting”. The interpretation went on to say that that very night Belshazzar’s kingdom would be taken away and divided among his enemies. That same night Belshazzar’s body lay dead upon the cold floor of what had been, a few hours earlier, his palace.

 

The warnings are there, for Iran,  just as plainly written as the moving finger wrote the warning to Belshazzar.  Sadly, I have no doubt the leaders of Iran will react in the same arrogant manner, as did Belshazzar, and succumb to the same end as the once great king. For God, Himself,  made Belshazzar another promise.  He said: ”Thou fool.  This night thy soul will be required of thee.”  Soon, thereafter, Belshazzar’s soul had departed his lifeless body.

 

The warning signs are there for Iran. They neglect to heed them at their own peril.

 

J. D. Longstreet

 

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Joe Biden, The Expert on Iran?

Joe Biden, the Expert on Iran?

By: J. D. Longstreet
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We are coming to understand why the Iranians would be more than pleased with Joe Biden as the Vice President of the United States.

Michael Rubin, a resident scholar at the American Enterprise Institute and a senior lecturer at the Naval Postgraduate School, has written an article titled: “Biden’s Blink on Iran” which was published by the Washington Post. In the article Rubin says: “As chairman of the Senate Foreign Relations Committee, Biden is well versed in policy debates and carefully choreographed trips. But his record on the Islamic Republic of Iran — perhaps the chief national security threat facing the next president — suggests a persistent and dangerous judgment deficit”.

Oh, my! This sounds serious! I assure you… it is. You must read Rubin’s article. You’ll find it here:

www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2008/08/25/AR2008082502337_pf.html

Obama signals that he believes Foreign Affairs is extremely important in his run for the Oval office. Then he makes the mistake of choosing Biden as his running mate.

We mentioned Iran… didn’t we? Well, on Iran… Biden wants to talk… and talk… and talk… a la Jimmy Carter. Remember him? (I try very hard not to!) Biden seems to be saying that the “nuclearization” of Iran is unacceptable, and yet when “going to war” is mentioned as a possibility, to thwart the Iranian’s obvious drive for “The Bomb”, he immediately cries foul (or, “time out”) and calls for sanctions. But… what if sanctions fail? Then what does he do? He seems ready to accept that which he has already referred to as… unacceptable! See, this is what the elite democrats refer to as “nuance”. We have another word(s) for it down South! Bovine Scatology!

The good Senator, from Delaware, is about as inconsistent as they come. Israel is already upset with him because they see him as unpredictable. I must tell you… I think Israel has it about right!

In a piece titled: “What Would Biden’s Middle East Policy Look Like?” over at “Slate”, author Shmuel Rosner, apparently thinks Joe Biden is an erratic pragmatist. You will find his commentary here:

http://www.slate.com/id/2198517/

So, why did we choose Biden’s views on foreign policy as it relates to Iran? It’s simple, really. No matter who the next President is, Iran is a menace LOOMING HUGE on the horizon. The US is going to have to deal with Iran, at some point, in the very near future. It matters greatly (and even now, I am understating the danger) who the American voters place in the position to decide how the US will act, or react, toward Iran.

There are people concerned about Biden’s ability to make the right decisions about Iran, and especially Iran’s intentions toward Israel. The Executive Director of the Republican Jewish Coalition (The RJC), Matt Brooks, released the following statement a few days ago:

“With the selection of Senator Joe Biden as Senator Obama’s vice president, the Democrat’s ticket has now become an even greater gamble for the Jewish community. Throughout his career, Senator Biden has consistently been wrong on Iran and his voting record on Israel has been inconsistent. Like Obama, Biden fundamentally misunderstands the threat posed by an Iran determined to obtain nuclear weapons. Biden has continuously demonstrated poor judgment on Iran. He has voted against significant legislation that would pressure Iran to stop pursuing nuclear weapons. Biden has failed to recognize the serious threat that Iran poses to Israel and the US and its allies in the Middle East,” said RJC Executive Director Matt Brooks.

Mr. Brooks continues: “In 1998, Sen. Biden was one of only four senators to vote against the Iran Missile Proliferation Sanctions Act, a bill that punished foreign companies or other entities that sent Iran sensitive missile technology or expertise. Biden was one of the few senators to oppose the bipartisan 2007 Kyl-Lieberman Amendment labeling the Iranian Revolutionary Guard a terrorist organization. In a December 2007 debate, Biden said “Iran is not a nuclear threat to the United States of America.” On MSNBC’s “Hardball,” Biden said he “never believed” Iran had a weapon system under production.”

Mr. Brooks went on to say: “The Jewish community was already gravely concerned with Senator Obama’s naive understanding of the Iranian threat. An Obama-Biden ticket has proven that it is ill-equipped to deal with this threat. By selecting Senator Biden to join his ticket, voting for Senator Obama has now become an even greater risk.” You’ll find the entire article here:

http://blogs.jta.org/politics/2008/08/23/782/jewish-republicans-bidens-soft-on-iran/

Mr. Biden, it would seem, is going to have some difficulty convincing voters of his expertise in Middle Eastern affairs and is certainly leaving open, for questioning, whether he has the qualifications to service as the Vice President of the US, an office that holds a tremendous amount of “sway” over the Foreign Policy of the US.

Mr. Biden has served on the Senate Foreign Relations Committee for over twenty-five years, including during the 1980-88 Iran-Iraq War. He has been either the ranking member, or the chairman of the committee, for over a decade, now. Could it be that he has been using his position to gain even higher office? I mean, career politicians do it all the time. Certainly, if that were true, it still would not disqualify him for consideration as Vice President of the US, now would it? Of course not! But, having said that, we hasten to add that claiming some sort of expert status on Foreign Affairs and Foreign Policy, especially in the Middle East, is a difficult thing, indeed, these days, given the state of, shall we say… “flux”… in which that region finds itself practically every hour. Mr. Biden would do well to carefully measure his words and his “pronouncements” (even more so) now that he is being considered, by the American people, for a “government position” that he absolutely must convince us he is prepared for.

J. D. Longstreet

 

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The Iran Scenarios … by Alan Caruba

The Iran Scenarios

By Alan Caruba

 

 

These days you can read as many different scenarios regarding the likelihood that Israel will attack Iran’s nuclear facilities as there are experts putting them forth. History, past and present, may have already written the script.

 

In a recent interview with Der Spiegel; Israeli Prime Minister, Ehud Olmert asked, “Why do you need to enrich uranium if you don’t have the facilities that can make use of this uranium for civilian purposes?” Iran does have such plants, but both have been in various stages of construction and delay since 1992 and neither has ever produced a watt of electricity.

 

The August edition of Energy Tribune takes on the question of an Israeli military action against Iranian facilities refining fissionable materials for the development of nuclear weapons. John Bolton, the former U.S. ambassador to the United Nations, is quoted saying that Israel has “a window” in which to conduct the strike. It would be between “the day after the November 4 U.S. election and closes with the swearing-in of George W. Bush’s successor on January 20, 2009.”

 

On August 10, the Jerusalem Post quoted U.S. Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice saying, “We don’t say yes or no to Israeli military operations. Israel is a sovereign country.” The U.S. election in November could have a tremendous effect on whether Israel acts or not. Sen. McCain’s support of Israel is not in doubt. An Obama administration would be filled with officials whose antipathy to Israel is well known.

 

Iran’s Islamic Revolution began in 1979 when it took U.S. diplomats hostage and held them for 444 days. They were returned the same day Ronald Reagan was sworn into office. When Saddam Hussein declared war on Iran in 1980, he had the understandable backing of the United States, but the war ground to a stalemate in 1988 after costing both nations hundreds of thousands of casualties.

 

The experience left Iran’s leaders in a cautious mood. Militarily Iran has remained a provocateur, not an active belligerent. The Iranians have preferred to fight proxy wars with Israel via their support for Hezbollah, based in Lebanon, and Hamas, based in Gaza. Even their involvement in Iraq has been through proxies. There would appear to be limits to the courage of the mullahs that run Iran with an iron hand.

 

Militarily, Iran would prove to be an extremely difficult nation to invade or conquer. Thus,

an Israeli strike would be limited to destroying or at least significantly delaying Iran’s nuclear weapons ambitions. At issue is when Iran would be capable of manufacturing and delivering its own nukes.

 

The next question to be answered is what benefit Iran’s leaders would perceive in launching a nuclear attack on Israel? Any use of nuclear weapons by any nation would come with a huge price. Iran is already a pariah nation despite its oil.

 

Since 1979 the Iran government has deemed the U.S. the Big Satan and Israel the Little Satan. When people spend nearly thirty years shouting “Death to America” and “Death to Israel”, history teaches that it is folly to ignore them or to suggest reasons to believe that it’s just bluster.

 

Writing in the August issue of Energy Tribune, Michael J. Economides and Peter C. Glover bluntly say, “We see no reason to change our opinion that an Israeli or Western air-strike is the only realistic way to prevent Iran’s ideologically-driven extremist regime.”

 

These two experts on energy and geopolitics estimate that $55.00 of the price per barrel of imported oil represents “geopolitical tensions, fear, and resulting speculation.” Put another way, the United States of America is sending billions to oil-producing Middle Eastern nations (and other oil producing nations) as the price we pay for the threat that Iran is presumed to pose. That threat would escalate if it gained nuclear weapons.

 

History, however, offers another scenario since the end of World War II. Despite the nuclear capability of the former Soviet Union and later Red China, the U.S. and other nations preferred a patient containment policy which reduced the potential of a major war. As we are witnessing in Georgia, the Russian quest for power is never static and always subject to change.

 

An Israeli attack, if followed by the collapse of the Iranian regime, would likely result in a relatively brief disruption in the flow of oil from the Middle East. The opening of the Strait of Harmuz would become an international priority, nor is the U.S. likely to be seriously affected because it imports much of its oil from Canada, Central and South America. It would surely increase the growing demands to open up ANWR in Alaska and authorization of off-shore oil exploration.

 

In 1981 Israel put an end to Saddam Hussein’s ambitions when it destroyed the Osirak reactor in 1981 and a Syrian nuclear facility in September 2007. Olmert will be gone as Israel’s prime minister by the end of September.

 

A new government, even one led by Benjamin “Bibi” Netanyahu, is not likely to take on the huge risks involved in an attack on Iran without explicit reassurances of U.S. approval and possible involvement. The problem for Israel is that such an attack would trigger war by a heavily rearmed Hezbollah based in Lebanon and a Gaza-based Hamas.

 

The irony is that all of Iran’s Arab neighbors would love to see Iran removed as an obstacle to peace in the region. Moreover, Iran represents Shiite Islam whereas other Muslim nations with the exception of Iraq are the majority Sunni sect. No love loss there.

 

Speculation will exist as long as the ayatollahs and the crazed Mamoud Amadinejad remain in power. In the end, like the sudden invasion of Georgia, the issue will be resolved by action, not talk.

 

Alan Caruba writes a weekly column posted on the Internet site of The National Anxiety Center, www.anxietycenter.com. He blogs daily at http://factsnotfantasy.blogspot.com.

 

© Alan Caruba, August 2008

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